Quebec's curbsicle recycling system reform has sent costs soaring, with producer contributions reaching $483M in 2026, nearly four times the gap projected for 2030. This MHA Insights analysis traces the structural drivers behind the increase, from the "everything in the bin" policy shift to deposit return diversion, sorting center obsolescence, and a thirty-year infrastructure catch-up, separating cyclical amplifiers from design choices in Quebec's EPR regime.